| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.5% | 59% | +5.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 85.1% | 84% | +1.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 81.5% | 77% | +4.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 61% | -6.7% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 63.2% | 20.7% | 16.0% |
| xgboost | 66.7% | 17.7% | 15.6% |
| logistic | 67.3% | 21.4% | 11.3% |
| Barnet | Tranmere | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1588 | 1372 |
| Surface Elo | 1588 | 1372 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | York | 3 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | York | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Oldham | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Cheltenham | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Crawley Town | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Oct | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Tranmere | 1 - 2 | Barnet |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Tranmere | 1 - 2 | Barnet |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Barnet | 1 - 0 | Tranmere |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Tranmere | 0 - 2 | Barnet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |