OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ League One · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Plymouth 2.40 0 - 2 1.20 Huddersfield
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.7%39%+9.9%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 75.0%67%+7.9%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 64.0%53%+11.2%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.3%60%-3.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson48.4%23.1%28.5%
xgboost39.9%34.8%25.3%
logistic45.1%26.0%28.9%
Inputs the models saw
PlymouthHuddersfield
Elo (pre-match)15971545
Surface Elo15971545
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.401.20
Form trend0.00-0.20
Season points per game1.901.78
Season goals for / game1.801.78
Season goals against / game1.201.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W1 W · 1 D
Plymouth: last 5
12 OctABournemouth1 - 6L
10 OctHAFC Wimbledon2 - 1W
10 OctHAFC Wimbledon2 - 1W
06 OctANewport County2 - 2D
03 OctALeyton Orient2 - 0W
Huddersfield: last 5
10 OctHSheffield Weds2 - 2D
10 OctHSheffield Weds2 - 2D
06 OctHRochdale5 - 0W
03 OctABurton3 - 1W
03 OctABurton3 - 1W
Head to head
21 Mar 2026Plymouth3 - 1Huddersfield
08 Nov 2025Huddersfield3 - 1Plymouth
13 Jan 2024Huddersfield1 - 1Plymouth
05 Aug 2023Plymouth3 - 1Huddersfield
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.8535.1%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%17 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home2.2045.5%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6560.6%17 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.2045.5%17 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away2.6038.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6027.8%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.6038.5%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6759.9%17 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.1546.5%17 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC