| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.9% | 43% | +4.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 79% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.3% | 58% | +2.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 63% | -7.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 26.6% | 36.3% |
| xgboost | 42.6% | 26.1% | 31.3% |
| logistic | 35.0% | 29.0% | 36.0% |
| Eldense | Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1410 | 1453 |
| Surface Elo | 1410 | 1453 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Hercules CF B | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Oviedo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Oviedo | 4 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Burgos | 0 - 1 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Tenerife | 3 - 2 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Tenerife | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Valladolid | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Valladolid | 1 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Dos Hermanas CF 1971 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Eldense | 1 - 1 | Cordoba |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Cordoba | 2 - 0 | Eldense |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |