| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.9% | 67% | -14.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 49.2% | 35.1% |
| xgboost | 42.7% | 56.5% |
| logistic | 58.2% | 41.8% |
| Minnesota Wild | Boston Bruins | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1565 | 1552 |
| Surface Elo | 1565 | 1552 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 3 - 1 | W |
| 14 May | A | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 4 | L |
| 12 May | H | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 5 | L |
| 10 May | H | Colorado Avalanche | 5 - 1 | W |
| 06 May | A | Colorado Avalanche | 2 - 5 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Winnipeg Jets | 4 - 3 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | New York Rangers | 3 - 0 | W |
| 01 May | H | Buffalo Sabres | 1 - 4 | L |
| 28 Apr | A | Buffalo Sabres | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | Buffalo Sabres | 1 - 6 | L |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Boston Bruins | 6 - 3 | Minnesota Wild |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 6 - 2 | Boston Bruins |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 1 - 0 | Boston Bruins |
| 05 Feb 2025 | Boston Bruins | 3 - 0 | Minnesota Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.49 | 67.1% | 03 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.82 | 35.5% | 03 Oct 21:20 |