OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-14
⚽ England League One · Saturday 14 November 2026, 15:00 UTC · scheduled
AFC Wimbledon 0.20 15:00 0.80 Blackpool
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 38.5%37%+1.5%
DCHome or away 73.6%76%-2.6%
DNBHome (DNB) 51.7%51%+0.8%
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 52.2%57%-4.7%
BTTSBTTS yes 54.5%no line
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.0%28.3%37.6%
xgboost38.7%23.1%38.2%
logistic36.5%30.5%33.0%
Inputs the models saw
AFC WimbledonBlackpool
Elo (pre-match)14061477
Surface Elo14061477
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.200.80
Form trend-0.10-0.20
Season points per game0.330.67
Season goals for / game0.671.00
Season goals against / game2.332.00
Rest days1413
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
AFC Wimbledon: last 5
07 NovACrewe1 - 2L
31 OctAStockport1 - 2L
31 OctAStockport1 - 2L
27 OctHArsenal1 - 2L
24 OctHWycombe1 - 1D
Blackpool: last 5
07 NovAHornchurch1 - 1D
01 NovASheffield Weds1 - 1D
01 NovASheffield Weds1 - 1D
27 OctHAston Villa3 - 2W
24 OctHMansfield1 - 4L
Head to head
11 Mar 2026AFC Wimbledon4 - 1Blackpool
04 Oct 2025Blackpool0 - 2AFC Wimbledon
06 Mar 2021Blackpool1 - 1AFC Wimbledon
27 Oct 2020AFC Wimbledon1 - 0Blackpool
22 Feb 2020AFC Wimbledon0 - 0Blackpool
16 Nov 2019Blackpool2 - 0AFC Wimbledon
29 Dec 2018AFC Wimbledon0 - 0Blackpool
20 Oct 2018Blackpool2 - 0AFC Wimbledon
20 Jan 2018AFC Wimbledon2 - 0Blackpool
02 Sep 2017Blackpool1 - 0AFC Wimbledon
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.5539.2%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7037.0%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7656.8%12 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%12 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:43 UTC