| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.7% | 61% | -6.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 29.4% | 70.6% |
| logistic | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| Dali Blanch | Sandro Kopp | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1567 | 1528 |
| Surface Elo | 1567 | 1528 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Marvin Moeller | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Matthew William Donald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Sandro Kopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Dali Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Matias Soto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Norbert Gombos | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Cezar Cretu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Martin Krumich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | Sandro Kopp |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Dali Blanch | 0 - 2 | Sandro Kopp |
| 25 May 2026 | Dali Blanch | 2 - 0 | Sandro Kopp |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 21 Sep 06:15 |