| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 45.2% | 45% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.8% | 78% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.2% | 62% | -6.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 54% | +1.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.4% | 25.9% | 31.6% |
| xgboost | 44.1% | 26.5% | 29.4% |
| logistic | 36.1% | 23.4% | 40.5% |
| Umraniyespor | Sivasspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1445 | 1470 |
| Surface Elo | 1445 | 1470 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1234 | 510 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 18 Oct | A | Van Spor FK | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Sariyer SK | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Jun | A | Istanbulspor | 0 - 4 | L |
| 03 Jun | H | Giresunspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 May | A | Hatayspor | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Sariyer SK | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | Bandirmaspor | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | Pendikspor | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Ankara Keciorengucu | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 May | A | Alanyaspor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 May 2023 | Umraniyespor | 4 - 1 | Sivasspor |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Sivasspor | 2 - 2 | Umraniyespor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.33 | 30.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.85 | 54.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |