| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 45% | +9.4% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.6% | 50.3% |
| logistic | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| Bernard Tomic | August Holmgren | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1654 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1654 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 09 Nov | H | Blake Ellis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Dane Sweeny | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Dane Sweeny | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Matteo Arnaldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Matteo Arnaldi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Nov | H | Philip Sekulic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Yuta Shimizu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Daniel Michalski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Yuta Shimizu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Daniel Michalski | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.63 | 61.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |