| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win selected | 71.9% | 62% | +9.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 78.3% | 21.6% |
| logistic | 62.8% | 37.2% |
| Raul Brancaccio | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1593 | 1450 |
| Surface Elo | 1593 | 1450 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Mika Petkovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Filippo Romano | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Hynek Barton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Francesco Forti | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Raul Brancaccio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Thiago Monteiro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Mika Petkovic | 2 - 0 | Raul Brancaccio |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.61 | 62.1% | 24 Sep 06:15 |