| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.7% | 59% | +1.5% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.6% | 57.3% |
| logistic | 40.2% | 59.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Matias Soto | Alvarez Valdes, Luis Carlos | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1525 | 1570 |
| Surface Elo | 1525 | 1570 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.18 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.55 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| Rest days | 12 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Frazier Rengifo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Oct | A | Valerio Aboian | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Samuel Heredia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Valerio Aboian | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Lorenzo Claverie | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Maxwell Mckennon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Rodrigo Alujas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Adrian Oetzbach | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |