| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.0% | 40% | +3.0% | |
| DC | Home or away | 75.3% | 74% | +1.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 54.4% | 56% | -1.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.6% | 51% | +3.4% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.2% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.7% | 25.9% | 31.4% |
| xgboost | 38.6% | 26.3% | 35.1% |
| logistic | 34.4% | 28.0% | 37.6% |
| Sheffield Utd | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1537 | 1569 |
| Surface Elo | 1537 | 1569 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Derby | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Derby | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Bristol City | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Bristol City | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Portsmouth | 2 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Blackburn | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Blackburn | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Preston North End | 4 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Preston | 4 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | West Brom | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 2 | Wrexham |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Wrexham | 5 - 3 | Sheffield Utd |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.96 | 33.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.46 | 28.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.48 | 40.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.90 | 52.6% | 30 Oct 06:15 |