| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.0% | 61% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.4% | 46.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.3% | 47.6% |
| logistic | 60.6% | 39.4% |
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.08 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.62 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.85 | 0.89 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Carole Monnet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | Solana Sierra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Polona Hercog | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Julia Grabher | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | H | Vergara Rivera, Antonia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | Renata Zarazua | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Julia Grabher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Julia Grabher | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Solana Sierra | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 06 Nov 06:15 |