| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.1% | 54% | -1.4% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.1% | 81% | -4.2% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.3% | 72% | -3.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 48.9% | 54% | -4.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.2% | 25.7% | 22.1% |
| xgboost | 44.1% | 29.8% | 26.1% |
| logistic | 46.5% | 28.7% | 24.8% |
| Fleetwood Town | Rochdale | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1448 | 1556 |
| Surface Elo | 1448 | 1556 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Oldham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Newport County | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Shrewsbury | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Liverpool | 3 - 3 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Oldham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Oldham | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Walsall | 0 - 0 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | Gillingham | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 0 | Rochdale |
| 03 Oct 2020 | Rochdale | 2 - 1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 26 Dec 2019 | Rochdale | 2 - 3 | Fleetwood Town |
| 21 Sep 2019 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 1 | Rochdale |
| 19 Jan 2019 | Rochdale | 1 - 1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 18 Aug 2018 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 2 | Rochdale |
| 20 Mar 2018 | Rochdale | 0 - 2 | Fleetwood Town |
| 14 Oct 2017 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 2 | Rochdale |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |