OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ England Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Blackburn 1.00 2 - 1 0.80 Cardiff
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.1%40%+10.5%✗ miss
DCHome or away 74.8%77%-1.8%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 64.3%54%+10.5%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.9%61%+1.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 59.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson39.1%27.8%33.1%
xgboost22.0%29.0%49.0%
logistic24.9%27.4%47.7%
Inputs the models saw
BlackburnCardiff
Elo (pre-match)15041553
Surface Elo15041553
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.80
Form trend-0.30-0.60
Season points per game1.003.00
Season goals for / game2.003.00
Season goals against / game2.001.00
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W2 W · 3 D
Blackburn: last 5
19 SepAPortsmouth2 - 2D
19 SepAPortsmouth2 - 2D
12 SepHMillwall3 - 1W
08 SepHSheffield Utd1 - 2L
05 SepAPreston1 - 2L
Cardiff: last 5
19 SepHCharlton3 - 1W
19 SepHCharlton3 - 1W
12 SepABolton0 - 1L
08 SepHStoke1 - 1D
05 SepAPortsmouth0 - 2L
Head to head
15 Mar 2025Blackburn1 - 2Cardiff
09 Nov 2024Cardiff1 - 3Blackburn
20 Feb 2024Cardiff0 - 0Blackburn
21 Oct 2023Blackburn1 - 0Cardiff
01 Jan 2023Blackburn1 - 0Cardiff
04 Oct 2022Cardiff1 - 0Blackburn
15 Jan 2022Cardiff0 - 1Blackburn
25 Sep 2021Blackburn5 - 1Cardiff
10 Apr 2021Cardiff2 - 2Blackburn
03 Oct 2020Blackburn0 - 0Cardiff
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.5539.2%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6927.1%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7336.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6461.0%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC