| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.5% | 52% | -5.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 72.4% | 82% | -9.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.2% | 72% | -9.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.0% | 51% | -1.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.9% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.3% | 29.4% | 26.2% |
| xgboost | 40.8% | 30.9% | 28.3% |
| logistic | 40.0% | 28.6% | 31.4% |
| Eibar | Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1581 | 1557 |
| Surface Elo | 1581 | 1557 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 1.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 8 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 2 D |
| 27 Sep | H | SD Compostela | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Ourense CF | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Eldense | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Eldense | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | SD Erandio Club | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Burgos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Burgos | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | CD Linares | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Cadiz | 1 - 0 | W |
| 04 Sep | H | Leganes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Eibar | 3 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Las Palmas | 3 - 1 | Eibar |
| 08 May 2023 | Eibar | 0 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 06 Nov 2022 | Las Palmas | 1 - 1 | Eibar |
| 15 Apr 2022 | Eibar | 2 - 2 | Las Palmas |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Las Palmas | 0 - 1 | Eibar |
| 12 May 2018 | Eibar | 1 - 0 | Las Palmas |
| 06 Jan 2018 | Las Palmas | 1 - 2 | Eibar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 27 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 27 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 27 Sep 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 27 Sep 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.90 | 25.6% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.94 | 51.5% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.89 | 52.9% | 27 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.88 | 53.2% | 27 Sep 06:15 |