OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-03

🎾 tennis_atp_japan_open · Saturday 03 October 2026, 07:00 UTC · scheduled

Matteo Berrettini 1.80 07:00 1.80 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
No prediction run for this match yet.

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
–

Inputs the models saw

	Matteo Berrettini	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Elo (pre-match)	1876	1777
Surface Elo	1876	1777
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	1.80
Form trend	0.00	-0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	2	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Matteo Berrettini: last 5

03 Oct	A	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	0 - 2	L
01 Oct	A	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2 - 1	W
01 Oct	A	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2 - 1	W
02 Sep	A	Mariano Navone	1 - 3	L
31 Aug	H	Stan Wawrinka	3 - 0	W

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: last 5

03 Oct	H	Matteo Berrettini	2 - 0	W
01 Oct	H	Rafael Jodar	2 - 0	W
01 Oct	H	Rafael Jodar	2 - 0	W
28 Sep	H	Taro Daniel	2 - 0	W
26 Sep	A	Coleman Wong	1 - 2	L

Head to head

03 Oct 2026

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

2 - 0

Matteo Berrettini

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
888sport	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.30	43.5%	03 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.61	62.1%	03 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.40	41.7%	03 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.59	62.9%	03 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.42	41.3%	03 Oct 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.55	64.5%	03 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.52	39.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.64	61.0%	03 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.56	39.1%	03 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Matteo Berrettini	1.66	60.2%	03 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.47	40.5%	03 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.59	62.9%	03 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.35	42.5%	03 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.57	63.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.37	42.2%	03 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.59	62.9%	03 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.32	43.1%	03 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.62	61.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.36	42.4%	03 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.58	63.3%	03 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.52	39.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.64	61.0%	03 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.54	39.4%	03 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Matteo Berrettini	1.66	60.2%	03 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.35	42.5%	03 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.57	63.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.46	40.6%	03 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.62	61.7%	03 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.30	43.5%	03 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.50	66.7%	03 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.40	41.7%	03 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.60	62.5%	03 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.35	42.5%	03 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.52	65.8%	03 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.20	45.5%	03 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.50	66.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.40	41.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.56	64.1%	03 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.40	41.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.56	64.1%	03 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.30	43.5%	03 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.62	61.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.40	41.7%	03 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.60	62.5%	03 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Adolfo Daniel Vallejo	2.35	42.5%	03 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Matteo Berrettini	1.56	64.1%	03 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC