| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.9% | 69% | -6.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 78.3% | 21.7% |
| logistic | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| Fajing Sun | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1557 | 1511 |
| Surface Elo | 1557 | 1511 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | A | Bernard Tomic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Bernard Tomic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Roman Safiullin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | A | Bernard Tomic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Matthew Dellavedova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Enzo Aguiard | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Yuta Shimizu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Sidharth Rawat | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Ilia Simakin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Chun Hsin Tseng | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 07 Oct 06:15 |