| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.8% | 79% | -13.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.9% | 77.0% |
| logistic | 34.2% | 65.8% |
| Pavle Marinkov | Philip Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1457 | 1594 |
| Surface Elo | 1457 | 1594 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 197 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Apr | A | Li Tu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Feb | H | Zhizhen Zhang | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Feb | H | Yasutaka Uchiyama | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Feb | A | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Nov | A | Alex Bolt | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | A | Ethan Cook | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Mustafa Ege Sik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Kenta Miyoshi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Yuta Shimizu | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct 2024 | Pavle Marinkov | 1 - 2 | Philip Sekulic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.27 | 78.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.40 | 29.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |