OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
⚽ Greek Super League · Sunday 20 September 2026, 16:00 UTC · finished
OFI Crete 2.40 2 - 2 0.80 Asteras Tripolis
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 62.6%45%+17.1%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 86.0%77%+9.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 77.8%64%+13.5%void
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 42.0%62%-19.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 43.2%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson47.8%29.1%23.0%
xgboost43.2%32.3%24.4%
logistic44.5%27.9%27.6%
Inputs the models saw
OFI CreteAsteras Tripolis
Elo (pre-match)15501457
Surface Elo15501457
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.400.80
Form trend0.000.40
Season points per game2.250.25
Season goals for / game1.500.50
Season goals against / game0.501.75
Rest days76
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W6 W · 2 D
OFI Crete: last 5
12 SepAOlympiakos1 - 0W
06 SepHKifisia2 - 0W
30 AugAAris1 - 2L
23 AugHVolos NFC2 - 0W
17 MayHVolos NFC3 - 1W
Asteras Tripolis: last 5
20 SepHApollon1 - 0W
13 SepHAEK1 - 1D
07 SepHIraklis0 - 2L
30 AugHOlympiakos0 - 1L
23 AugAPanetolikos1 - 3L
Head to head
11 Jan 2026OFI Crete4 - 0Asteras Tripolis
03 Nov 2025Asteras Tripolis3 - 0OFI Crete
26 Apr 2025OFI Crete0 - 2Asteras Tripolis
13 Apr 2025Asteras Tripolis2 - 1OFI Crete
15 Feb 2025OFI Crete2 - 1Asteras Tripolis
04 Nov 2024Asteras Tripolis3 - 0OFI Crete
27 Apr 2024Asteras Tripolis1 - 1OFI Crete
21 Dec 2023OFI Crete0 - 2Asteras Tripolis
26 Aug 2023Asteras Tripolis3 - 0OFI Crete
22 Apr 2023OFI Crete1 - 1Asteras Tripolis
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.3030.3%20 Sep 17:00
Bet3651X2draw3.1032.3%20 Sep 17:00
Bet3651X2home2.2544.4%20 Sep 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.4041.7%20 Sep 17:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.5365.4%20 Sep 17:00
SportyBet1X2away3.3330.0%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.2031.2%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2544.4%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.2544.4%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6361.4%20 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:27 UTC