| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.2% | 52% | +5.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.5% | 77% | +2.1% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 72.9% | 69% | +4.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 64% | -12.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.2% | 24.7% | 27.1% |
| xgboost | 62.1% | 20.7% | 17.3% |
| logistic | 60.3% | 23.3% | 16.4% |
| Brighton | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1799 | 1744 |
| Surface Elo | 1799 | 1744 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.11 | 1.56 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.67 | 1.78 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.78 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 5 W | 2 W · 3 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Getafe | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Manchester City | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Manchester City | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Manchester City | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Liverpool | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Wycombe Wanderers Development Team | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Nottingham Forest | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Sunderland | 2 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Hull | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 0 - 2 | Brighton |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Brighton | 2 - 1 | Brentford |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Brentford | 4 - 2 | Brighton |
| 27 Dec 2024 | Brighton | 0 - 0 | Brentford |
| 03 Apr 2024 | Brentford | 0 - 0 | Brighton |
| 06 Dec 2023 | Brighton | 2 - 1 | Brentford |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Brighton | 3 - 3 | Brentford |
| 14 Oct 2022 | Brentford | 2 - 0 | Brighton |
| 26 Dec 2021 | Brighton | 2 - 0 | Brentford |
| 11 Sep 2021 | Brentford | 0 - 1 | Brighton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.75 | 57.1% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 08 Nov 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.82 | 26.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.99 | 25.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.97 | 50.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 08 Nov 06:15 |