OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ La Liga 2 · Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:15 UTC · finished
Granada 1.40 2 - 0 0.80 Cadiz
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.7%53%-0.4%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.8%82%-2.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 70.7%73%-2.4%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 55.2%48%+6.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 54.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson52.7%24.8%22.4%
xgboost49.4%26.2%24.3%
logistic55.7%26.6%17.6%
Inputs the models saw
GranadaCadiz
Elo (pre-match)14591342
Surface Elo14591342
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.400.80
Form trend-0.70-0.30
Season points per game1.560.78
Season goals for / game1.561.22
Season goals against / game1.441.22
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 5 D
Granada: last 5
12 OctABurgos1 - 0W
12 OctABurgos1 - 0W
04 OctASociedad3 - 2W
04 OctASociedad B3 - 2W
03 OctAAtletico Malagueno0 - 2L
Cadiz: last 5
11 OctHSporting Gijon0 - 1L
11 OctHSp Gijon0 - 1L
03 OctHLeganes4 - 0W
03 OctHLeganes4 - 0W
26 SepATenerife1 - 1D
Head to head
24 Jan 2026Cadiz1 - 2Granada
25 Oct 2025Granada0 - 0Cadiz
16 Mar 2025Cadiz1 - 0Granada
23 Nov 2024Granada0 - 0Cadiz
29 Mar 2024Cadiz1 - 0Granada
03 Jan 2024Granada2 - 0Cadiz
28 Feb 2022Granada0 - 0Cadiz
13 Dec 2021Cadiz1 - 1Granada
02 May 2021Granada0 - 1Cadiz
04 Oct 2020Cadiz1 - 1Granada
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.1024.4%18 Oct 15:15
Bet3651X2draw3.6027.8%18 Oct 15:15
Bet3651X2home1.8155.2%18 Oct 15:15
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9351.8%18 Oct 15:15
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.8853.2%18 Oct 15:15
SportyBet1X2away3.8026.3%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.3030.3%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0548.8%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.0548.8%18 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.7557.1%18 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:17 UTC