| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.9% | 73% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 89.0% | 91% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 86.1% | 89% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.4% | 73% | -9.6% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 7.7% | 13.7% | 78.5% |
| xgboost | 15.1% | 15.8% | 69.1% |
| logistic | 9.5% | 20.1% | 70.3% |
| Venezia | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1573 | 1933 |
| Surface Elo | 1573 | 1933 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.38 | 2.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 2.88 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Napoli | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Napoli | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Atalanta | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Scafatese Calcio 1922 | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | ASD Sorrento 1945 | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Oct | H | Shakhtar D | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Venezia | 0 - 1 | Inter |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Inter | 1 - 0 | Venezia |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Inter | 2 - 1 | Venezia |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Venezia | 0 - 2 | Inter |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.40 | 71.4% | 28 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 28 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 7.00 | 14.3% | 28 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.40 | 71.4% | 28 Oct 17:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.00 | 33.3% | 28 Oct 17:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.37 | 73.0% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.09 | 16.4% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.80 | 12.8% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.38 | 72.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.20 | 31.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |