| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.0% | 68% | -8.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.1% | 35.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 60.8% | 39.1% |
| logistic | 53.1% | 46.9% |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1785 | 1730 |
| Surface Elo | 1785 | 1730 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.63 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Nicolas Kicker | 1 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Mateus Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Juan Manuel La Serna | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Munk Mesa, Bernardo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 05 May 2025 | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 1 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 05 Feb 2024 | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 1 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 06 Mar 2023 | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 1 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 18 Oct 06:15 |