| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.4% | 29% | +14.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.8% | 79% | -4.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.2% | 38% | +20.1% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 63% | -0.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.8% | 26.6% | 35.6% |
| xgboost | 29.3% | 29.3% | 41.4% |
| logistic | 25.3% | 26.9% | 47.8% |
| Cheltenham | Halifax | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1422 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1422 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Tranmere | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Tranmere | 1 - 3 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Newport County | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Newport County | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Fleetwood Town | 4 - 2 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Nottingham Forest | 3 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Yeovil | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Yeovil | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Barrow | 2 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Barrow | 2 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.50 | 28.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |