| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.8% | 64% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.8% | 37.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 48.3% | 51.6% |
| logistic | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| Jonas Forejtek | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1478 | 1432 |
| Surface Elo | 1478 | 1432 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | A | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Felix Gill | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Maxime Chazal | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Jonas Forejtek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Joel Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Titouan Droguet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Jonas Forejtek | 2 - 1 | Maxime Chazal |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 24 Sep 06:15 |