| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.4% | 68% | -15.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.3% | 60.7% |
| logistic | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Oleksandra Oliynykova | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1539 | 1503 |
| Surface Elo | 1539 | 1503 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 12 | 18 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Mary Stoiana | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Aliona Falei | 0 - 1 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Yue Yuan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Yue Yuan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Wolff, Vivian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Katerina Siniakova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Moyuka Uchijima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Oleksandra Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Julieta Pareja | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Chang, H | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Mary Stoiana | 2 - 0 | Oleksandra Oliynykova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.46 | 68.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |