OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Preston 0.80 0 - 1 1.00 Millwall
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 52.3%43%+9.8%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 76.7%73%+3.9%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 67.5%59%+8.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.1%56%+0.5%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 56.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson31.6%28.8%39.5%
xgboost22.9%23.3%53.8%
logistic19.7%27.9%52.4%
Inputs the models saw
PrestonMillwall
Elo (pre-match)14391625
Surface Elo14391625
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.801.00
Form trend0.100.00
Season points per game0.501.38
Season goals for / game1.001.88
Season goals against / game1.881.88
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W4 W · 6 D
Preston: last 5
19 SepAQPR2 - 2D
12 SepHLincoln0 - 1L
08 SepAWatford1 - 2L
05 SepHBlackburn2 - 1W
01 SepHBristol City1 - 3L
Millwall: last 5
09 OctHWest Ham1 - 0W
19 SepHWest Ham2 - 2D
19 SepHWest Ham2 - 2D
15 SepAMiddlesbrough2 - 2D
12 SepABlackburn1 - 3L
Head to head
28 Feb 2026Preston0 - 2Millwall
08 Nov 2025Millwall1 - 1Preston
18 Feb 2025Preston1 - 1Millwall
28 Sep 2024Millwall3 - 1Preston
27 Jan 2024Millwall1 - 1Preston
21 Oct 2023Preston1 - 1Millwall
15 Apr 2023Millwall2 - 0Preston
12 Nov 2022Preston2 - 4Millwall
15 Apr 2022Preston1 - 1Millwall
01 Feb 2022Millwall0 - 0Preston
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.2045.5%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%10 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home3.0033.3%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%10 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%10 Oct 15:00
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC