| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.6% | 53% | -1.3% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| logistic | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Sloane Stephens | Julieta Pareja | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1601 | 1564 |
| Surface Elo | 1601 | 1564 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.71 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 29 Oct | H | Astra Sharma | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Rose Marie Nijkamp | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | H | Thea Frodin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Lahey, A | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Kristina Liutova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | H | Barbora Palicova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | H | Diae El Jardi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Kristina Penickova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Elizabeth Mandlik | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Madison Brengle | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.89 | 52.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |