OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Greece Super League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
AEK 2.20 3 - 0 2.00 OFI Crete
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 64.5%80%-15.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 88.1%96%-7.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 83.0%94%-11.3%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.4%67%-8.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson75.9%15.9%8.2%
xgboost77.6%14.1%8.3%
logistic75.0%16.9%8.1%
Inputs the models saw
AEKOFI Crete
Elo (pre-match)17971543
Surface Elo17971543
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.202.00
Form trend0.000.10
Season points per game3.001.00
Season goals for / game2.002.00
Season goals against / game1.002.00
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W2 W · 1 D
AEK: last 5
20 SepAVolos NPS2 - 1W
20 SepAVolos NFC2 - 1W
13 SepAAsteras Tripolis1 - 1D
05 SepHAris5 - 0W
30 AugAKifisia1 - 1D
OFI Crete: last 5
20 SepHAsteras Tripolis2 - 2D
20 SepHAsteras Tripolis2 - 2D
12 SepAOlympiakos1 - 0W
06 SepHKifisia2 - 0W
30 AugAAris1 - 2L
Head to head
21 Dec 2025AEK2 - 1OFI Crete
09 Nov 2025OFI Crete0 - 1AEK
08 Dec 2024OFI Crete1 - 2AEK
18 Aug 2024AEK3 - 0OFI Crete
28 Jan 2024AEK3 - 0OFI Crete
02 Oct 2023OFI Crete2 - 0AEK
05 Mar 2023OFI Crete0 - 3AEK
09 Nov 2022AEK3 - 0OFI Crete
20 Dec 2021AEK1 - 2OFI Crete
19 Sep 2021OFI Crete3 - 3AEK
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away11.009.1%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw6.4015.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2580.0%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5066.7%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.5539.2%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC