| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.8% | 73% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 19.3% | 80.6% |
| logistic | 44.7% | 55.3% |
| Remy Bertola | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1569 | 1678 |
| Surface Elo | 1569 | 1678 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 13 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Otto Virtanen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Lucas Poullain | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Alexandre Reco | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Lucas Poullain | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Alexandre Reco | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Dominic Stricker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Remy Bertola | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Andrey Rublev | 2 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Otto Virtanen | 2 - 0 | Remy Bertola |
| 04 Mar 2024 | Otto Virtanen | 2 - 0 | Remy Bertola |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.37 | 73.0% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 14 Oct 06:15 |