| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.2% | 41% | +14.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| logistic | 33.4% | 66.6% |
| Sean Cuenin | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1367 | 1532 |
| Surface Elo | 1367 | 1532 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 20 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Izan Almazan Valiente | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Kimmer Coppejans | 0 - 1 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Marco Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Gustavo Heide | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Sean Cuenin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | A | Adrian Andreev | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Maxim Mrva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 1 | Sean Cuenin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |