| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.4% | 63% | -6.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.1% | 49.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.6% | 64.4% |
| logistic | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| Zhuoxuan Bai | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1460 | 1511 |
| Surface Elo | 1460 | 1511 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | Moyuka Uchijima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Linda Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Linda Fruhvirtova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Jan | A | Aryna Sabalenka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Jan | A | Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Mai Hontama | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Chenting Zhu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Kaji, Haruka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Ye Xin Ma | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Ye Xin Ma | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |