| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.9% | 72% | -15.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 42.1% | 57.8% |
| logistic | 42.3% | 57.7% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Nguyen Tan, Lucie | Martha Matoula | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1564 | 1549 |
| Surface Elo | 1564 | 1549 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Joelle Steur | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Astrid Lew Yan Foon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Mazzola, Alessandra | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Laura Samson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Eva Bennemann | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Matilde Paoletti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Marianne Argyrokastriti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Rudiukova, Nina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Golovina, Maria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Sziedat, F | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 06 Nov 06:15 |