| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.1% | 69% | -2.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.7% | 33.2% |
| logistic | 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Duje Ajdukovic | Andrej Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1561 | 1517 |
| Surface Elo | 1561 | 1517 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Goncalo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Vilius Gaubas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Joao Domingues | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Louis Wessels | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct 2021 | Andrej Martin | 1 - 2 | Duje Ajdukovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |