OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-07
🎾 ATP Challenger Costa do Sauipe, Brazil Men Singles · Saturday 07 November 2026, 19:10 UTC · finished
Facundo Diaz Acosta 1.80 0 - 2 3.00 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 57.4%60%-2.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov46.5%53.5%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost46.4%53.5%
logistic34.6%65.4%
Inputs the models saw
Facundo Diaz AcostaThiago Seyboth Wild
Elo (pre-match)17521859
Surface Elo17521859
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.803.00
Form trend-0.900.00
Season points per game1.802.75
Season goals for / game1.401.75
Season goals against / game1.000.25
Rest days11
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W3 W · 0 D
Facundo Diaz Acosta: last 5
06 NovHMarco Cecchinato2 - 0W
05 NovHFilip Misolic2 - 1W
03 NovHMatheus Pucinelli De Almeida2 - 0W
02 NovHThiago Seyboth Wild0 - 2L
02 NovHMarco Cecchinato2 - 0W
Thiago Seyboth Wild: last 5
05 NovHFranco Roncadelli2 - 0W
03 NovHFelipe Meligeni Alves2 - 0W
02 NovACamilo Ugo Carabelli0 - 2L
02 NovAFacundo Diaz Acosta2 - 0W
02 NovAJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva2 - 0W
Head to head
02 Nov 2026Facundo Diaz Acosta0 - 2Thiago Seyboth Wild
10 Feb 2025Facundo Diaz Acosta1 - 2Thiago Seyboth Wild
06 Mar 2023Facundo Diaz Acosta0 - 2Thiago Seyboth Wild
29 Nov 2021Facundo Diaz Acosta2 - 0Thiago Seyboth Wild
22 Nov 2021Facundo Diaz Acosta0 - 2Thiago Seyboth Wild
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6660.2%07 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1546.5%07 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:55 UTC