| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.4% | 74% | -9.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| logistic | 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Philip Henning | Borna Gojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1551 | 1723 |
| Surface Elo | 1551 | 1723 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Borna Gojo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Thijs Boogaard | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Carrascosa Diaz, Maxi | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Philip Henning | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Titouan Droguet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Borna Gojo | 2 - 0 | Philip Henning |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.35 | 74.1% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.05 | 32.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |