| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.1% | 58% | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.9% | 53.0% |
| logistic | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Yshai Oliel | Alec Beckley | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1423 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1423 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Van Herck, Louis | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Florent Bax | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Courtney John Lock | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | Arthur Reymond | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Axel Nefve | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Max Houkes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Niklas Grunewald | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Axel Nefve | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Jun | H | Tuncay Duran | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.70 | 58.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.04 | 49.0% | 08 Oct 06:15 |