| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 50.0% | 35% | +14.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.8% | 81% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 63.4% | 48% | +15.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 59% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 34.4% | 24.2% | 41.4% |
| xgboost | 24.1% | 27.7% | 48.2% |
| logistic | 33.6% | 26.9% | 39.5% |
| Bristol Rvs | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1476 | 1588 |
| Surface Elo | 1476 | 1588 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.56 | 2.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.56 | 1.43 |
| Rest days | 7 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Crewe | 1 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Exeter | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Gillingham | 0 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Grimsby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Rotherham | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | AFC Wimbledon | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Fleetwood Town | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Fleetwood Town | 3 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Accrington | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Sep | A | Chesterfield | 3 - 3 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Bristol Rvs | 0 - 2 | Barnet |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Barnet | 4 - 0 | Bristol Rvs |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 10 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 10 Oct 15:00 |