| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.5% | 71% | -8.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 75.2% | 24.8% |
| logistic | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Leonard, M | Sada Nahimana | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1555 | 1509 |
| Surface Elo | 1555 | 1509 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Rest days | 1 | 18 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Djoubri, S | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Alicia Dudeney | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Jessika Ponchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Jodie Burrage | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Stephanie Judith Visscher | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Jorge, Matilde | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Isis Louise Van Den Broek | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Martynov, D | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Alina Nesmianovych | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | HAJAR CRINEBOUCH | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 22 Oct 06:15 |