| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.1% | 66% | -1.5% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 86.2% | 87% | -0.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 79.7% | 82% | -2.6% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.9% | 69% | -19.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 49.6% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 21.8% | 23.2% | 55.0% |
| xgboost | 23.8% | 30.6% | 45.6% |
| logistic | 28.1% | 26.3% | 45.5% |
| Frosinone | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1651 | 1810 |
| Surface Elo | 1651 | 1810 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Sep | A | Genoa | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Sep | H | Venezia | 3 - 2 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Fiorentina | 3 - 0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Juventus | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 May | H | Mantova | 5 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Parma | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Genoa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Napoli | 2 - 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Udinese | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 May | A | Cremonese | 4 - 1 | W |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Como | 0 - 2 | Frosinone |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Frosinone | 2 - 0 | Como |
| 16 Feb 2022 | Frosinone | 1 - 2 | Como |
| 17 Sep 2021 | Como | 0 - 2 | Frosinone |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.44 | 69.4% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 6.25 | 16.0% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.33 | 75.2% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.40 | 29.4% | 20 Sep 14:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.00 | 20.0% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.79 | 17.3% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.46 | 68.5% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.80 | 35.7% | 20 Sep 06:16 |