| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.0% | 90% | -20.1% | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 31.7% | 68.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 23.9% | 76.0% |
| logistic | 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Hugo Grenier | Grigor Dimitrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1563 | 1750 |
| Surface Elo | 1563 | 1750 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Tiago Pereira | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Carl Emil Overbeck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Thomas Faurel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Edas Butvilas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | Alexei Popyrin | 1 - 3 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Sebastian Baez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jul | H | Nuno Borges | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.11 | 90.1% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.80 | 17.2% | 28 Sep 06:15 |