| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 45.6% | 35% | +10.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 76.6% | 77% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 56.5% | 48% | +8.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.0% | 64% | -8.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.7% | 25.6% | 40.7% |
| xgboost | 39.4% | 23.7% | 36.9% |
| logistic | 34.7% | 26.7% | 38.6% |
| Brentford | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1755 | 1775 |
| Surface Elo | 1755 | 1775 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 7 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 6 W · 2 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Aston Villa | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Aston Villa | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Derby | 4 - 2 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 - 7 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Bromley | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | LASK Linz | 6 - 3 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Manchester City | 0 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Manchester City | 0 - 3 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Doncaster | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Rochdale | 3 - 3 | D |
| 24 May 2026 | Liverpool | 1 - 1 | Brentford |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Brentford | 3 - 2 | Liverpool |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Brentford | 0 - 2 | Liverpool |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Liverpool | 2 - 0 | Brentford |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Brentford | 1 - 4 | Liverpool |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Liverpool | 3 - 0 | Brentford |
| 06 May 2023 | Liverpool | 1 - 0 | Brentford |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Brentford | 3 - 1 | Liverpool |
| 16 Jan 2022 | Liverpool | 3 - 0 | Brentford |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Brentford | 3 - 3 | Liverpool |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.38 | 42.0% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.78 | 36.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.79 | 26.4% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.53 | 39.5% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.56 | 64.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |