| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.3% | 33% | +18.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 63.8% | 22.7% |
| xgboost | 16.2% | 83.2% |
| logistic | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| Buffalo Sabres | Chicago Blackhawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1591 | 1347 |
| Surface Elo | 1591 | 1347 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 6.00 | 5.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Oct | A | Columbus Blue Jackets | 3 - 6 | L |
| 18 May | H | Montréal Canadiens | 2 - 3 | L |
| 17 May | A | Montréal Canadiens | 8 - 3 | W |
| 14 May | H | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 6 | L |
| 12 May | A | Montréal Canadiens | 3 - 2 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 0 - 6 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 5 | L |
| 16 Apr | H | San Jose Sharks | 5 - 2 | W |
| 14 Apr | H | Buffalo Sabres | 1 - 5 | L |
| 11 Apr | H | St. Louis Blues | 3 - 5 | L |
| 14 Apr 2026 | Chicago Blackhawks | 1 - 5 | Buffalo Sabres |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Buffalo Sabres | 9 - 3 | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 28 Dec 2024 | Buffalo Sabres | 6 - 2 | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Chicago Blackhawks | 2 - 4 | Buffalo Sabres |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 03 Oct 21:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 3.07 | 32.6% | 03 Oct 21:20 |