| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.1% | 67% | -12.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 56.0% | 43.9% |
| logistic | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Braden Shick | Andres Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1541 | 1634 |
| Surface Elo | 1541 | 1634 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.90 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W 路 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Colton Smith | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | H | Stefan Kozlov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Darwin Blanch | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Maks Kasnikowski | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | H | James Trotter | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Harry Wendelken | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Mitchell Krueger | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.55 | 39.2% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.47 | 68.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |