| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.6% | 82% | -24.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 67.4% | 32.6% |
| logistic | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| Bruno Fernandez | Tomas Farjat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1397 | 1436 |
| Surface Elo | 1397 | 1436 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 77 | 133 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Sep | H | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | H | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jun | H | Nicolas Kicker | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Jun | H | Nick Hardt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Juan Pablo Varillas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 May | A | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Jun | A | Franco Roncadelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Jun | A | Maximus Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Nov | A | Lautaro Midon | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.22 | 82.0% | 21 Sep 06:15 |