| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.3% | 70% | -1.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 68.2% | 31.7% |
| logistic | 70.1% | 29.9% |
| Nicolas Mejia | Jack Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1546 | 1555 |
| Surface Elo | 1546 | 1555 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Rest days | 7 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Nov | H | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Murphy Cassone | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | A | Miguel Tobon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Federico Coria | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Miguel Tobon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | H | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | Hynek Barton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Hynek Barton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Bryce Nakashima | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.43 | 69.9% | 09 Nov 06:15 |