| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.0% | 50% | +0.0% | abandoned |
| DC | Home or draw | 75.9% | 80% | -4.4% | abandoned |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.8% | 70% | -3.2% | abandoned |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 46% | +4.7% | abandoned |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.8% | no line | abandoned |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.9% | 26.5% | 22.6% |
| xgboost | 48.5% | 28.5% | 23.1% |
| logistic | 48.5% | 27.4% | 24.1% |
| Sabadell | Andorra | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1509 | 1422 |
| Surface Elo | 1509 | 1422 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 0.86 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.86 | 2.14 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Celta B | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Celta B | 1 - 1 | D |
| 20 Sep | H | Oviedo | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Oviedo | 3 - 1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Mallorca | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Granada | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Sp Gijon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Sporting Gijon | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Sociedad B | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 03 Oct 06:01 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 03 Oct 06:01 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.01 | 49.8% | 03 Oct 06:01 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 03 Oct 06:01 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.70 | 58.8% | 03 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.10 | 24.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.99 | 50.2% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.25 | 44.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.63 | 61.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |