| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 44.4% | 32% | +12.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.1% | 75% | -0.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 56.8% | 44% | +12.4% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 46% | +7.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 52.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.3% | 26.7% | 31.1% |
| xgboost | 37.3% | 30.7% | 32.0% |
| logistic | 39.2% | 28.3% | 32.5% |
| Coventry | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1659 | 1662 |
| Surface Elo | 1659 | 1662 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | A | Tottenham | 1 - 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Newcastle | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Brighton | 0 - 5 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Manchester City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Hull | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Hull | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Walsall | 2 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipswich Town U21 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipswich | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Apr 2022 | Fulham | 1 - 3 | Coventry |
| 02 Oct 2021 | Coventry | 4 - 1 | Fulham |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.35 | 42.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.59 | 27.9% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.16 | 31.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.72 | 58.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |