| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 80.7% | 91% | -10.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.5% | 30.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 89.6% | 10.3% |
| logistic | 71.4% | 28.6% |
| Henry Bernet | Maximilian Neuchrist | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1666 | 1465 |
| Surface Elo | 1666 | 1465 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 97 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Jul | H | Valentin Royer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Apr | A | Karim Bennani | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Mar | A | Florent Bax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Mar | H | Stefano Napolitano | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.20 | 16.1% | 11 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.10 | 90.9% | 11 Oct 06:15 |