OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-17
🎾 ATP Shanghai, China Men Singles · Saturday 17 October 2026, 08:30 UTC · finished
Alexander Zverev 2.40 1 - 2 2.40 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 74.7%77%-2.3%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov61.7%38.3%
poisson37.1%35.2%
xgboost84.2%15.8%
logistic65.8%34.2%
Inputs the models saw
Alexander ZverevAlejandro Davidovich Fokina
Elo (pre-match)21812020
Surface Elo21812020
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.402.40
Form trend-0.60-0.60
Season points per game2.572.67
Season goals for / game1.861.78
Season goals against / game0.570.44
Rest days12
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W1 W · 0 D
Alexander Zverev: last 5
17 OctAAlejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2L
15 OctHAlex De Minaur2 - 0W
15 OctAAlex De Minaur2 - 0W
13 OctHAlexander Bublik2 - 1W
13 OctAAlexander Bublik2 - 1W
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: last 5
17 OctHAlexander Zverev2 - 1W
15 OctAArthur Gea1 - 0W
15 OctHArthur Gea1 - 0W
13 OctAHubert Hurkacz2 - 0W
13 OctHHubert Hurkacz2 - 1W
Head to head
17 Oct 2026Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 1Alexander Zverev
27 Oct 2025Alejandro Davidovich Fokina0 - 2Alexander Zverev
21 Apr 2025Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2Alexander Zverev
27 Sep 2023Alejandro Davidovich Fokina1 - 2Alexander Zverev
07 Aug 2023Alejandro Davidovich Fokina2 - 0Alexander Zverev
31 May 2021Alejandro Davidovich Fokina0 - 3Alexander Zverev
12 Oct 2020Alejandro Davidovich Fokina0 - 2Alexander Zverev
31 Aug 2020Alejandro Davidovich Fokina0 - 3Alexander Zverev
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.7027.0%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3076.9%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:01 UTC